Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hapoel Afula 2-2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit — Actual Match Statistics
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Nazareth Illit shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Hapoel Nazareth Illit carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hapoel Afula had 42% of the ball to Hapoel Nazareth Illit's 58%, shots finished 13-13.
What was the final score of Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Hapoel Afula 2-2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Israel - Liga Leumit on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Nazareth Illit win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Afula 22%, draw 14%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 64%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.