Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Jan 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
3-1 HT 2-1
Macarthur
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
31%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.62
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
14%
4.94
X/2
11%
7.35
X/X
8%
5.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.95
2/2
12%
4.53
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.78/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.88
+21% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
17.6 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macarthur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
466 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.04.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
25.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.01.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
08.05.2022 Macarthur Macarthur 1-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
12.03.2022 Macarthur Macarthur 3-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
11.12.2021 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Macarthur
2.84 xG 0.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
27 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
414 Passes 427
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers saw off Macarthur 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Macarthur's 53%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 2.84 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.33 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur?

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 47%, draw 23%, Macarthur 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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