Lee Man vs Kitchee Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lee Man v Kitchee — Team-Based Signals
Lee Man vs Kitchee Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Kitchee
HK1
2-2
HT 1-1
Lee Man
HK1
2-1
HT 2-0
Kitchee
HK1
2-2
HT 1-2
Kitchee
HK1
0-2
HT 0-0
Kitchee
HK1
2-2
HT 2-1
Lee Man
HK1
Lee Man 2-2 Kitchee — Actual Match Statistics
Lee Man and Kitchee couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match lean was Lee Man at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lee Man had 44% of the ball to Kitchee's 56%, shots finished 13-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lee Man and 1.67 for Kitchee.
What was the final score of Lee Man vs Kitchee?
Lee Man 2-2 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - HKPL Cup on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Kitchee?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 46%, draw 35%, Kitchee 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.