Ballyclare Comrades 1-4 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

Ballyclare Comrades
1-4 HT 0-3
Harland & Wolff Welders
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Ballyclare Comrades vs Harland & Wolff Welders Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.33
2-3 Goals
44%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.56
6+ Goals
9%
6.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.33 — our 24% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.2pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballyclare Comrades v Harland & Wolff Welders — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.40/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.49
+33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Ballyclare Comrades vs Harland & Wolff Welders Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
23.09.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-2 HT 3-2 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
08.11.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 0-0 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
28.10.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-5 HT 0-2 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
11.02.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
27.11.2021 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-2 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1

Ballyclare Comrades 1-4 Harland & Wolff Welders — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
1-4
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders swept aside Ballyclare Comrades 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ballyclare Comrades at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ballyclare Comrades had 61% of the ball to Harland & Wolff Welders's 39%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 1.50 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ballyclare Comrades 1-4 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballyclare Comrades win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 41%, draw 25%, Harland & Wolff Welders 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →