Al Masry 1-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Jan 2024

Al Masry
1-1 HT 0-0
Ismaily
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Masry vs Ismaily Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 40% vs market 35.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.08
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
17%
4.23
X/2
11%
6.39
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
10%
5.46
2/X
10%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Masry v Ismaily — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.15/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.7 Crosses 13.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Masry vs Ismaily Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ismaily
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.04.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-2 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
25.12.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
18.08.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 4-1 HT 3-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
06.05.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
07.04.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
13.12.2020 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR

Al Masry 1-1 Ismaily — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
1-1
AWAY Ismaily
0.63 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
394 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry and Ismaily couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Masry at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Al Masry had 57% of the ball to Ismaily's 43%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ismaily led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Masry and 1.33 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Ismaily?

Al Masry 1-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 41%, draw 33%, Ismaily 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Masry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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