Spalding United 3-1 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.00/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.70
-43% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
26.08.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 5-1 HT 3-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United got the better of St Ives Town 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs St Ives Town?

Spalding United 3-1 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 45%, draw 26%, St Ives Town 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
1 Jan 2025
16:00 Morpeth Town vs Blyth Spartans Analysis →
16:00 Bracknell Town vs Basingstoke Town Analysis →
16:00 Royston Town vs Leiston Analysis →
18:00 Bishops Stortford vs Bedford Town Analysis →
18:00 Halesowen Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs AFC Telford United Analysis →