Havadar 0-5 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
60%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.81
No
54%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 72%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.29/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.62
-57% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Persepolis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 8
09.12.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
25.05.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-3 Persepolis Persepolis IRANK
13.02.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 0-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
05.09.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-3 HT 0-2 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
04.04.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
09.12.2021 Persepolis Persepolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis swept aside Havadar 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Havadar and 1.50 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Persepolis?

Havadar 0-5 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Havadar 15%, draw 25%, Persepolis 60%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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