Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
45%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
6.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.8pp
45%
Away Win
35%
+9.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.24/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.94
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
25.1 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-5D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
284 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
30.01.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
12.07.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
20.12.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
21.08.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
04.03.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.05 xG 0.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
422 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt edged past Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had National Bank of Egypt as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 55% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 45%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.05 to 0.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ghazl El Mehalla.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.00 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 26%, draw 30%, National Bank of Egypt 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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