Leyton Orient 1-3 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.87
X/2
16%
6.76
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.15
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.46
+2% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 65%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.7 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.64 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 177
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
08.11.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
06.10.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İNTK
08.10.2019 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
23.04.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
28.11.2015 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-3
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.24 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
263 Passes 185
69% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon got the better of Leyton Orient 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 55% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 45%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.24 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.17 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

Leyton Orient 1-3 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 43%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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