Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.14
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.28
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
9%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.44
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.21/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +70%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 67%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.5 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cardiff City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
130 Passes 258
52% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City HAZ
24.04.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-1 HT 1-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNCL
29.12.2020 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
08.04.2003 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İN1
12.10.2002 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
19.01.2002 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Cardiff City
1.35 xG 2.45
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
190 Passes 476
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers and Cardiff City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 34% of the ball to Cardiff City's 66%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.35 to 2.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.50 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 Cardiff City in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 38%, draw 23%, Cardiff City 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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