Wadi Degla 0-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.6pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
0W-1D-4L
AWAY El Gounah
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.53 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
24.01.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
14.10.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-2 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
04.02.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
31.01.2015 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
0-1
AWAY El Gounah
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah squeezed past Wadi Degla 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day El Gounah made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 63% of the ball to El Gounah's 37%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Gounah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Wadi Degla and 1.40 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs El Gounah?

Wadi Degla 0-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - League Cup on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 37%, draw 27%, El Gounah 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wadi Degla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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