Al Faisaly 5-3 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2026

Al Faisaly
5-3 HT 2-2
Al Raed
📅01/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Faisaly vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Faisaly v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 36%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.94/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.99
-27% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Al Faisaly vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Raed
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
306 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
25.09.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
10.03.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
11.12.2020 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
04.09.2020 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
11.01.2020 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly saw off Al Raed 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Faisaly found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Faisaly and 0.83 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Raed?

Al Faisaly 5-3 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 38%, draw 30%, Al Raed 31%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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