Getafe 0-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Feb 2024

Getafe
0-2 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Getafe vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.75
Over
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
35%
2.91
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
18%
3.96
6+
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.91 — our 35% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.21
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
6%
17.45
X/1 ✗
15%
11.45
X/2
17%
3.65
X/X
14%
5.58
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
1.92
2/X
7%
16.6
Value flag · X/1 at 11.45 — our 15% vs market 5.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
58%
-14.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.92/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.08
-42% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
19.2 Crosses 18.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Getafe vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.30
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
216 Passes 636
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
13.05.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
08.10.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
09.04.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
02.01.2022 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
18.04.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Getafe 0-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
0-2
AWAY Real Madrid
0.83 xG 2.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
341 Passes 527
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid beat Getafe 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid's 58%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.83 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Getafe and 1.00 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Real Madrid?

Getafe 0-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Getafe 30%, draw 27%, Real Madrid 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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