Stade Ouchy 0-3 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Feb 2024

Stade Ouchy
0-3 HT 0-2
Luzern
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Stade Ouchy vs Luzern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
7.23
X/2
8%
4.71
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
24%
2.7
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Ouchy v Luzern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
0.99/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.19
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
16.1 Crosses 21.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Stade Ouchy vs Luzern Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
330 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV

Stade Ouchy 0-3 Luzern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
0-3
AWAY Luzern
1.13 xG 3.56
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 7
427 Passes 211
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern ran out comfortable winners over Stade Ouchy 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Luzern made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 64% of the ball to Luzern's 36%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.13 to 3.56.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Luzern?

Stade Ouchy 0-3 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 34%, draw 26%, Luzern 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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