Barracas Central 0-2 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
16%
8.02
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
8%
9.46
X/2
17%
3.77
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.23
2/X
11%
15.45
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.02 — our 16% vs market 8.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+11.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
56%
-15.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 60%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.05/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.08
+2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
242 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 70%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.7 Crosses 19.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
1W-0D-3L
AWAY River Plate
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.92 xG 1.71
33% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
148 Passes 430
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2023 River Plate River Plate 5-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
01.07.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 2-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
05.09.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
14.07.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-3 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
0-2
AWAY River Plate
1.26 xG 1.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
259 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate beat Barracas Central 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barracas Central had 46% of the ball to River Plate's 54%, shots finished 24-19, expected goals 1.26 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Barracas Central and 2.75 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs River Plate?

Barracas Central 0-2 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 31%, draw 29%, River Plate 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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