Caucaia vs Ferroviario AC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caucaia v Ferroviario AC — Team-Based Signals
Caucaia vs Ferroviario AC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caucaia 1-2 Ferroviario AC — Actual Match Statistics
Ferroviario AC edged past Caucaia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Caucaia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Caucaia had 50% of the ball to Ferroviario AC's 50%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferroviario AC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Caucaia and 1.17 for Ferroviario AC.
What was the final score of Caucaia vs Ferroviario AC?
Caucaia 1-2 Ferroviario AC in the Brazil - Cearense 1 on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caucaia vs Ferroviario AC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caucaia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caucaia 45%, draw 24%, Ferroviario AC 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caucaia) went the other way.