01/02/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Catanduva vs Itapirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
50%
30%
Draw
25%
20%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catanduva v Itapirense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Catanduva
The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Itapirense
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
298 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Catanduva vs Itapirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Catanduva cruised past Itapirense 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Catanduva as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Catanduva vs Itapirense?
Catanduva 3-0 Itapirense in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catanduva vs Itapirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Catanduva win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Catanduva 49%, draw 30%, Itapirense 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanduva), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Catanduva)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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