Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.30
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Achuapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-1 HT 1-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
12.08.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 2-3 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
0-1
AWAY Achuapa
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa squeezed past Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zacapa Tellioz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zacapa Tellioz had 48% of the ball to Achuapa's 52%, shots finished 3-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Achuapa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 3.00 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Achuapa?

Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 45%, draw 27%, Achuapa 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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