Doxa 0-2 Ethnikos Achna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
32%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
Over Pick
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
46%
4-5
31%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
16%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doxa The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethnikos Achna The Market 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doxa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethnikos Achna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
02.08.2017 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 0-4 HT 0-2 Doxa Doxa HAZ
06.08.2014 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 4-0 HT 1-0 Doxa Doxa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doxa
0-2
AWAY Ethnikos Achna
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethnikos Achna beat Doxa 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Doxa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Doxa had 58% of the ball to Ethnikos Achna's 42%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Doxa and 2.00 for Ethnikos Achna.

What was the final score of Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna?

Doxa 0-2 Ethnikos Achna in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doxa vs Ethnikos Achna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doxa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Doxa 51%, draw 18%, Ethnikos Achna 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doxa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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