Arabi 3-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Nasar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.01.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-1 Arabi KUVEK
02.12.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-0 Arabi KUVFK
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi beat Al Nasar 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arabi and 0.00 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Arabi 3-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arabi 48%, draw 28%, Al Nasar 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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