Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Super Cup, 1 Feb 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-0 HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Uruguay Super Cup – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
18.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
30.07.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
14.03.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
04.10.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URUK
01.08.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-3 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
06.02.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-3 HT 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-0
AWAY Defensor Sporting
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) nicked a narrow win over Defensor Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Liverpool FC (Montevideo) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 39% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 61%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.33 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay Super Cup on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 39%, draw 25%, Defensor Sporting 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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