Tamworth 0-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
8%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.97
1/2
11%
21.4
1/X
11%
16.0
X/1
9%
10.3
X/2
12%
4.22
X/X
7%
5.68
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.05
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 61%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.23/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.49
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
150 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Barnet
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2024 Barnet Barnet 7-0 HT 3-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
15.02.2014 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
13.08.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
0-1
AWAY Barnet
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet edged past Tamworth 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tamworth had 31% of the ball to Barnet's 69%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tamworth and 2.67 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Barnet?

Tamworth 0-1 Barnet in the England - National League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 27%, draw 26%, Barnet 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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