Universidad Concepcion 2-3 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.55/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.43
+25% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
23.6 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Concepcion
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Nublense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
13.03.2015 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-2 HT 2-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
18.10.2014 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
31.08.2013 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Concepcion
2-3
AWAY Nublense
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
2 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universidad Concepcion vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense nicked a narrow win over Universidad Concepcion 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nublense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universidad Concepcion had 34% of the ball to Nublense's 66%, shots finished 10-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universidad Concepcion and 2.00 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Universidad Concepcion vs Nublense?

Universidad Concepcion 2-3 Nublense in the Chile - Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Concepcion vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Universidad Concepcion 33%, draw 28%, Nublense 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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