Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1-2 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.89
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
52%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
7%
8.98
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.8 — our 52% vs market 46.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.3pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittifaq Maqaba EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittifaq Maqaba
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.03.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al Ittifaq Maqaba BAHK
25.09.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al Ittifaq Maqaba BAHKK
02.12.2020 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al Ittifaq Maqaba BAHKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittifaq Maqaba
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
24% Ball Possession 76%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama squeezed past Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Manama as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittifaq Maqaba had 24% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 76%, shots finished 3-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Ittifaq Maqaba and 2.33 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Al Ahli Manama?

Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1-2 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ittifaq Maqaba 20%, draw 27%, Al Ahli Manama 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAHKK More Bahrain - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025
19:00 Buri vs Sitra Analysis →
19:00 Bahrain SC vs Al Riffa Analysis →