Saint-Étienne (K) 2-2 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.51 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
167 Passes 250
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
2-2
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.39 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
256 Passes 432
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) and FC Nantes (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nantes (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 41% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 59%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.39 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 2-2 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 26%, draw 27%, FC Nantes (K) 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Nantes (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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