Pharco 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
6.12
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.70/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.02
-24% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
13.5 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.89 xG 0.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 280
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2023 Pharco Pharco 3-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
24.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
27.08.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
25.04.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
3-2
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
2.33 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
280 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Pharco made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pharco had 53% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 47%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.33 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pharco had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pharco and 0.75 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Pharco 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pharco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pharco 37%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pharco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pharco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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