Santa Cruz 4-1 Magallanes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 1 Feb 2026

Santa Cruz
4-1 HT 1-0
Magallanes
📅01/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2026

Santa Cruz vs Magallanes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Cruz v Magallanes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Magallanes EU Bookmakers 40%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.00/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.00
-100% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
– Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Santa Cruz vs Magallanes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Magallanes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.26 xG 1.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
254 Passes 446
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.07.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 3-0 HT 3-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz ŞİLİK
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz cruised past Magallanes 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Magallanes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

Santa Cruz 4-1 Magallanes in the Chile - Cup on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 28%, draw 30%, Magallanes 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Magallanes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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