Al Shabab Manama 2-1 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 52%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Malkiya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
15.04.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
03.10.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2-1
AWAY Malkiya
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama edged past Malkiya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malkiya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 37% of the ball to Malkiya's 63%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malkiya led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 0.33 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Malkiya?

Al Shabab Manama 2-1 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 23%, draw 29%, Malkiya 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAHKK More Bahrain - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026
17:45 Bahrain SC vs Al Hadd Analysis →