Azam 1-0 Nairobi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 1 Feb 2026

Azam
1-0 HT 1-0
Nairobi United
📅01/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

Azam vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.95
No
62%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
79%
-3.9pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.0pp
8%
Away Win
5%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
30%
+8.2pp
62%
BTTS No
70%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Azam v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azam EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.95/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.34
+71% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
– Crosses 8.0
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Azam vs Nairobi United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azam
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nairobi United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
The Meetings
25.01.2026 Nairobi United Nairobi United 1-2 HT 1-1 Azam CAFKK

Azam 1-0 Nairobi United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azam
1-0
AWAY Nairobi United
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Azam vs Nairobi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azam squeezed past Nairobi United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Azam as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Azam had 62% of the ball to Nairobi United's 38%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Azam vs Nairobi United?

Azam 1-0 Nairobi United in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azam vs Nairobi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azam win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Azam 75%, draw 16%, Nairobi United 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azam), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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