Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

Qingdao Jonoon
1-1 HT 0-1
Henan Jianye
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.81
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
11%
4.1
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
13%
4.66
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.81 — our 24% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qingdao Jonoon v Henan Jianye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.43/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.08
+28% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
22.0 Crosses 12.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.92 xG 0.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Henan Jianye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.13 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
322 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Henan Jianye couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Qingdao Jonoon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 52% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 48%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.13 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.00 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 45%, draw 25%, Henan Jianye 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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