Opava 1-0 Pribram — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Opava EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pribram EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
1.42/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.53
-16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Opava
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pribram
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.05.2023 Pribram Pribram 2-0 HT 1-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
21.10.2022 Opava Opava 0-1 HT 0-0 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
23.04.2022 Opava Opava 1-1 HT 0-1 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
16.10.2021 Pribram Pribram 2-0 HT 1-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
13.02.2021 Opava Opava 0-0 HT 0-0 Pribram Pribram ÇEK
12.09.2020 Pribram Pribram 1-1 HT 0-0 Opava Opava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Opava
1-0
AWAY Pribram
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Opava vs Pribram
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Opava squeezed past Pribram 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Opava as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Opava had 44% of the ball to Pribram's 56%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pribram led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Opava and 1.17 for Pribram.

What was the final score of Opava vs Pribram?

Opava 1-0 Pribram in the Czech Republic - FNL on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Opava vs Pribram?

Before kick-off our model rated a Opava win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Opava 49%, draw 24%, Pribram 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Opava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Opava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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