Arbroath 3-2 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.99
-34% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
30.12.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.12.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
15.04.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
04.02.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
17.12.2022 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
19.10.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arbroath
3-2
AWAY Raith Rovers
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath edged past Raith Rovers 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arbroath had 51% of the ball to Raith Rovers's 49%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arbroath and 1.50 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Arbroath 3-2 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 22%, draw 26%, Raith Rovers 52%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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