Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.67
X/2
9%
6.63
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.17
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -24%
1.25/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.50
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.9 Crosses 17.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Albacete
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
05.03.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
03.11.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-2 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.02.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
03.12.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
09.07.2020 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-1
AWAY Albacete
1.50 xG 0.65
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
512 Passes 240
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon edged past Albacete 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 64% of the ball to Albacete's 36%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.50 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.00 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 47%, draw 28%, Albacete 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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