Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1-0 Maccabi Herzliya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Leumit, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
35%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.0pp
35%
Draw
22%
+13.7pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Nazareth Illit EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Herzliya EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1-0
AWAY Maccabi Herzliya
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Herzliya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Nazareth Illit squeezed past Maccabi Herzliya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hapoel Nazareth Illit as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hapoel Nazareth Illit had 63% of the ball to Maccabi Herzliya's 37%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Herzliya?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1-0 Maccabi Herzliya in the Israel - Liga Leumit on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Herzliya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Nazareth Illit win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Nazareth Illit 41%, draw 35%, Maccabi Herzliya 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Nazareth Illit), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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