Aarau 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -10%
1.04/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.48
+7% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
18.0 Crosses 24.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.91 xG 2.10
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
571 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 2-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
06.08.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-3 HT 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
22.04.2023 Aarau Aarau 5-2 HT 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
03.03.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-0 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
23.10.2022 Aarau Aarau 3-3 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
22.07.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-0
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.21 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 7
393 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau beat Neuchatel Xamax 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Aarau made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarau had 54% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 46%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.21 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aarau and 1.83 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Aarau 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aarau 40%, draw 22%, Neuchatel Xamax 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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