Lazio vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Lazio
İTA
2-0
HT 2-0
Lazio
İTA
4-0
HT 2-0
Milan
İTA
1-2
HT 1-0
Milan
İTA
4-0
HT 3-0
Lazio
İTK
2-0
HT 1-0
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 0-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Milan edged past Lazio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Milan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lazio had 38% of the ball to Milan's 62%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.33 to 1.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lazio and 2.00 for Milan.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Milan?
Lazio 0-1 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lazio 30%, draw 30%, Milan 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.