Al Ahly 1-0 Young Africans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
24%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
70%
-19.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
10%
+13.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Africans EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.85/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.85
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.0 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Young Africans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.76 xG 0.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 9
406 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Young Africans Young Africans 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-0
AWAY Young Africans
0.75 xG 0.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
535 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Young Africans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Young Africans 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahly had 62% of the ball to Young Africans's 38%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Young Africans?

Al Ahly 1-0 Young Africans in the CAF Champions League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Young Africans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 50%, draw 26%, Young Africans 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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