Nueva Chicago 2-0 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Mar 2024

Nueva Chicago
2-0 HT 2-0
Atletico Rafaela
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Rafaela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v Atletico Rafaela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.77
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Rafaela Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
215 Passes 274
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
The Meetings
24.04.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
07.06.2015 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJ
23.05.2004 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ

Nueva Chicago 2-0 Atletico Rafaela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nueva Chicago
2-0
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago got the better of Atletico Rafaela 2-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 35% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nueva Chicago had 58% of the ball to Atletico Rafaela's 42%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.67 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Rafaela?

Nueva Chicago 2-0 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 29%, draw 35%, Atletico Rafaela 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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