Western United (K) 4-2 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 1 Mar 2024

Western United (K)
4-2 HT 3-0
Canberra United (K)
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Western United (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
69%
-17.4pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.4pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.26/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.10
+10% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
29.4 Crosses 24.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Western United (K) 4-2 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
4-2
AWAY Canberra United (K)
4.62 xG 0.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
299 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) beat Canberra United (K) 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Western United (K) had 52% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 48%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 4.62 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Western United (K) 4-2 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 52%, draw 26%, Canberra United (K) 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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