Club Brugge II 2-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.44
2-3 Goals
34%
2.0
4-5 Goals
34%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.87
+48% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -64%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
16.7 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
334 Passes 373
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
09.12.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
09.10.2022 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 3-1 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge II
2-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.04 xG 0.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
468 Passes 243
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge II vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge II edged past KRC Genk II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Club Brugge II had 63% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 37%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.04 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Brugge II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Club Brugge II and 0.67 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Club Brugge II vs KRC Genk II?

Club Brugge II 2-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge II vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge II 28%, draw 23%, KRC Genk II 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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