Westerlo 0-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Mar 2024

Westerlo
0-1 HT 0-0
Sporting Charleroi
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
9%
6.88
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.90/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.50
+40% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.3 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
366 Passes 440
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.04.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
17.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-3 HT 1-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.02.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
15.05.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
14.04.2019 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL

Westerlo 0-1 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
0-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.34 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
479 Passes 268
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi squeezed past Westerlo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 61% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 39%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.34 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 2.17 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Westerlo 0-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 42%, draw 32%, Sporting Charleroi 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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