Cherno More Varna 2-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
-7.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.4pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 9%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.08/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/4.42
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -55%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
451 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
01.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
2-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna edged past Botev Vratsa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 56% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?

Cherno More Varna 2-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 69%, draw 19%, Botev Vratsa 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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