Bhayangkara United 3-2 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.74/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.18
+34% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bhayangkara United
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Madura United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
4 Corners 4
25.08.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
08.09.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
14.01.2022 Madura United Madura United 2-3 HT 0-1 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
18.09.2021 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
22.11.2019 Madura United Madura United 1-2 HT 0-1 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bhayangkara United vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bhayangkara United edged past Madura United 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bhayangkara United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bhayangkara United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Bhayangkara United and 0.80 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Bhayangkara United vs Madura United?

Bhayangkara United 3-2 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bhayangkara United vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bhayangkara United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bhayangkara United 37%, draw 28%, Madura United 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bhayangkara United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bhayangkara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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