IFK Mariehamn 0-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 1 Mar 2024

IFK Mariehamn
0-0 HT 0-0
Gnistan
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Mariehamn v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-69% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gnistan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.85 xG 0.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 6
370 Passes 365
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.10.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
25.10.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and Gnistan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gnistan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 0.00 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan?

IFK Mariehamn 0-0 Gnistan in the Finland - League Cup on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 32%, draw 27%, Gnistan 41%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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