Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 27% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
16%
3.96
X/2
7%
8.79
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
11%
7.04
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.45
+27% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.2 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
346 Passes 441
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
30.09.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
08.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
22.04.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
11.10.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
11.09.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-0
AWAY Pohang Steelers
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
511 Passes 364
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Pohang Steelers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 59% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 41%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.17 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Pohang Steelers?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 49%, draw 26%, Pohang Steelers 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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