ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
3-0 HT 1-0
Jamshedpur
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v Jamshedpur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.09/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.22
+0% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.5 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jamshedpur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 209
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-3 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.04.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-0 HT 2-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HINSK
09.02.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
08.12.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
07.03.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
06.12.2021 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-1 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Jamshedpur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3-0
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.38 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
342 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan cruised past Jamshedpur 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 53% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 47%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.38 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.33 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur?

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 46%, draw 27%, Jamshedpur 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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