Millwall U21 4-1 Swansea City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.28
No
35%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
74%
-9.1pp
35%
BTTS No
26%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-39% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Swansea City U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.01.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Millwall U21 vs Swansea City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall U21 cruised past Swansea City U21 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Millwall U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Millwall U21 4-1 Swansea City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall U21 35%, draw 24%, Swansea City U21 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →