Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOLK
3-1
HT 2-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin edged past Deportivo Pasto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 63% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 37%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.94 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Pasto.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 47%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pasto 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.