Pharco 2-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 39% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
0.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.09
-21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
14.6 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
2W-2D-0L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.86 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
219 Passes 357
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
18.10.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
09.08.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
17.03.2022 Pharco Pharco 2-2 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
2-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.38 xG 0.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 10
157 Passes 292
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco squeezed past National Bank of Egypt 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Pharco made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pharco had 38% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 62%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.38 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pharco had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pharco and 0.75 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt?

Pharco 2-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pharco 32%, draw 30%, National Bank of Egypt 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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