ADT 2-0 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.52/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.4 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
247 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
03.06.2023 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
30.10.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
03.07.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-0
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.87 xG 0.44
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
366 Passes 134
81% Pass Accuracy 57%
19 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT got the better of Alianza Lima 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day ADT made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, ADT had 65% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 35%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 0.87 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ADT and 1.00 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of ADT vs Alianza Lima?

ADT 2-0 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ADT 40%, draw 27%, Alianza Lima 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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